[China Glass Network] Although affected by the earthquake in Japan and the situation in Libya, the supply and demand of the domestic petrochemical products market is basically balanced, and the price is affected by the impact of crude oil.
According to the preliminary statistics of the China Petrochemical Federation, domestic fertilizer production was relatively stable in March. The output of nitrogen fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer remained basically at the end of last year. Among them, the average daily output of urea was 145,000 tons. It is estimated that the cumulative output in the first quarter will be around 13 million tons, down 5 years. %, the operating rate is 80%, the average daily output of diammonium phosphate is 31,000 tons, and the cumulative output in the first quarter is about 2.75 million tons, up 12% year-on-year, basically starting at full capacity. The overall balance of production and sales of enterprises, the average market price of urea in March was 1950 yuan, down 90 yuan from last month, and the average price of diammonium market was 3350 yuan, up 150 yuan. In the same period, pesticide production also remained stable. The cumulative output in the first quarter was about 590,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 15%. In March, domestic prices of bulk chemicals rose more or less, but the gains fell. It is estimated that the cumulative output of domestic ethylene in the first quarter will be about 3.65 million tons, an increase of about 30%; the cumulative output of soda ash and caustic soda in the first quarter will be 5 million tons and 5.4 million tons respectively; the cumulative output of calcium carbide in the first quarter will be 3.5 million tons, down 4% year-on-year; Synthetic resin accumulated 11.5 million tons in the first quarter, up 19% year-on-year; synthetic rubber accumulated 1.2 million tons in the first quarter, up 21% year-on-year.
According to the monitoring data of China Chemical Network, 40 of the 68 chemical products monitored in March rose and 22 products fell, which also showed a steady growth trend. Among all kinds of chemicals, liquid chlorine and sulfuric acid rose significantly last month. Among them, the liquid chlorine market in Shandong rose from 1600 to 1700 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month to 1900-2000 yuan/ton at the end of the month, an increase of 21.21%. The main reason is that the operating rate of chlorine-consuming enterprises is increasing, and downstream enterprises are taking bromine and PVC. The demand for propylene oxide and methane chloride is obviously improved. The falling varieties are acetone. It is understood that the acetone market has been in a state of yin in March. Until the end of the month, the changes in the supply side of the international refinery's load-reduction operation, expected maintenance, and high external quotations made the market stop falling.
The domestic petrochemical market has entered a stage of moderate consolidation. The steady performance of crude oil in recent months has caused the downstream market to lose many opportunities for speculation; while the downstream terminal market is in a moderate recovery phase, the volume and price are stable, and the reverse direction leads to a moderate performance.
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